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New York City’s public schools are expected to decline, reflecting a drop in their population from last year.
According to “Statistical Forecasting” prepared by the New York City School Construction Authority, New York City is expected to lose thousands of students in the 2034-35 school year.
“Enrollment is expected to be 721,251 in 2034-35, which would be a decrease of 153,000 students from 2024-2025,” the outlet reported.
New York City’s public schools are expected to decline, reflecting a drop in their population from last year. (Nikolas Lanum/Fox News Digital)
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“Over the next decade, enrollment is expected to decline in each of the five boroughs. Brooklyn, Queens, and the Bronx are expected to experience the largest declines over the next decade, losing 45,000, 43,000, and 35,000, respectively,” it added.
This shortage is thought to be caused by declining birth rates, population migration, and an aging population. “Statistical Forecasting was retained by the New York City School Construction Authority (“SCA”) to generate New York City public school enrollment statistics for the ten-year period beginning with the 2025-26 school year and ending in 2034-35,” the document said.
This reflects a broader decline in enrollment in major cities across the country as they struggle to retain students due to parents looking for options outside of their neighborhood schools.
The New York Times reported Friday that the number of kindergarten through 12th grade public school students in the US it has decreased in 30 states since the mid-2010s.
New York City public schools lost 22,000 students this year from last year 906,248 students. According to preliminary data from the Ministry of Education, there are a total of 884,400 students enrolled in traditional schools in the city. NYC had over 1,002,000 students enrolled at the beginning of the school year 2019-2020 school yearwhich means it has lost more than 117,000.
New York City public schools lost 22,000 students this year from last year 906,248 students. (Jeffrey Basinger/Newsday RM via Getty Images)
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A spokesperson for NYC Public Schools told Fox News Digital in January that enrollment can change for a number of reasons.
“New York City Public Schools is committed to providing a world-class education to all of our students,” NYC Public Schools spokeswoman Isla Gething told Fox News Digital.
“Enrollment can change for many reasons, and these are trends we monitor closely. Our focus remains on delivering strong academic programs and safe learning environments for all classrooms. We continue to engage with the entire school community as we plan for the future of our schools with a long-term focus on stability, equity, and providing excellent education without enrollment fluctuations.”
The study comes as New York City faces renewed immigration.
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According to a Citizens Budget Commission (CBC) study released last month, the Big Apple lost more residents than it gained last year. The report found that New York City lost about 114,000 more residents to other US cities than it gained by 2025, reversing two years of slow growth.
New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani. (Adam Gray/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
The CBC reported that the decline is being driven by residents looking for a “value proposition” elsewhere in order to find lower costs of living, taxes, and overall quality of life.
NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the city’s education department did not respond to Fox News Digital’s request for comment.
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