Another day of NBA betting is here, and we’re here to give you our top picks for Friday’s NBA basketball matchups. Our Basketball Forever betting bot has run thousands of simulations on each game today, picking our best players and betting tips for Friday, May 22, 2026.
PLAYER OUTPUT
1. BLACK’S VICTOR OVER 14.5 Total OUTSTANDING (+100)
Probability: +100
Probability: 55.1%
Rating: 14.5
Edge: 8.1%
Game: Thunder vs Spurs (8:30PM EST)
The Basketball Forever betting bot received today’s strong bets, finding value in the total prop market. As we look at Victor Wembanyama Over 14.5 Total Rebounds in the Thunder vs Spurs game. So far this postseason, Wembanyama is averaging 11.9 REB per game. Compared to the Thunder, Wembanyama was able to collect 20.5 rebounds per game. Our model predicts that Wembanyama will finish tonight’s game with 14.5 rebounds, giving our model a high level of confidence in this bet. We believe that Wembanyama will have enough time to pass this line.
We recommend that you place a bet Victor Wembanyama Over 14.5 Total Reboundsattractive 6.5% limitwith +100 possibilities.
2. SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 7.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-118)
Probability: -118
Chances: 51%
Rating: 7.8
Limit: 7.3%
Game: Thunder vs Spurs (8:30PM EST)
The next best bet found by our Basketball Forever betting bot happened in the Thunder vs Spurs game, focusing on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 7.5 Total Assists. So far throughout the season, SGA has averaged 7.8 assists per game, showing 9/12/8/9/2 assists in his last five games. Our model suspects that after crossing this line in 4/5 of his most recent matchups, he will keep this trend going, moving the ball to the best goal balance. Our model believes this is the strongest bet you can have on tonight’s NBA slate.
Our model strongly recommends betting Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 7.5 Total Assistswith -118 possibilities and a 7.3% limit.
3. CHET HOLMGREN OVER 8.5 TOTAL CAPITAL (+110)
Probability: +110
Probability: 53.3%
Assumptions: 9.1
Limit: 6.4%
Game: Thunder vs Spurs (8:30PM EST)
According to our model, tonight’s best player bet in the NBA Finals will feature Chet Holmgren in the Thunder vs Spurs matchup. Our betting bot values Chet Holmgren Over 8.5 Total Rebounds. So far in the postseason, Holmgren has averaged 8.5 REB per game, and averaged 8 rebounds against the Spurs throughout the regular season. Our model shows that Holmgren will finish tonight’s game with a total of 9.1 rebounds. With our betting bot projecting Holmgren to finish tonight’s game with 9.1 rebounds, we believe this is a solid bet for tonight’s NBA slate.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends betting Chet Holmgren Over 8.5 Number of Reboundswith the findings 6.4% limit again +110 exceptions.
A GOOD BET
1. SPURS -1.5 (-115)
Probability: -115
Probability: 53.4%
Edge: 4.4%
Game: Thunder vs Spurs (8:30PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot found the best bet of the day, which happened in the Thunder vs Spurs game. In this matchup, our model determined that Spurs -1.5 is a strong bet. Going into this game, Spurs have already put this figure in the first game of the finals. Our model suspects that since Spurs are at home tonight, they will have a home court offense. Our model predicts that the Spurs will be able to limit the Thunder’s shooting attempts, resulting in the Spurs covering the spread tonight.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing bets Spurs – 1.5. With -115 possibilities and a 4.4% limitthis is our best bet of the day.
READ MORE: LeBron James on Why Victor Wembanyama Is So Special
