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Best NBA Player Props and Bets 5/7/26

Another day of NBA betting is here, and we’re here to give you our top picks for Thursday’s NBA basketball finals. Our Basketball Forever betting bot has run thousands of simulations on each game today, picking our best players and betting on Thursday, May 7, 2026.

PLAYER OUTPUT

1. AUSAR THOMPSON OVER 3.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+106)

Probability: +106
Probability: 54.6%
Assumptions: 4.3
Edge: 6.1%
Game: Cavaliers vs Pistons (7PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has found the best bets of the day. It takes us to Detroit, where we are locked in the Cavaliers vs Pistons matchup. In this game, our betting tip is on Ausar Thompson Over 3.5 Total Assists. In all of his last 5 matchups in the postseason, Thompson has been able to surpass this particular number in 4/5 of his most recent matchups featuring 5/4/6/6/1 assists per assist. Our model shows that Thompson will finish tonight’s game with 4.3 total assists. Our character predicts that Thompson will be forced to move the ball, which leads to him going over the line tonight.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing bets Ausar Thompson Over 3.5 Total Assists with +106 odds and a 6.1% limitmaking this our best bet of the day.

2. RUI HACHIMURA OVER 14.5 POINTS (+130)

Probability: +130
Probability: 48.6%
Rating: 13.9
Edge: 5.1%
Game: Lakers vs Thunder (9:30PM EST)

The next best bet found by our Basketball Forever betting bot happened on the Lakers vs Thunder game, focusing on Rui Hachimura Over 14.5 Points Scored. So far this postseason, Hachimura has managed to average a total of 16.1 PTS per game. In all of Hachimura’s last 5 games, he managed to cross this line 3/5 times, showing 18/21/12/13/22 points made in each game. With Hachimura coming off of his last three games, our model predicts that he will finish tonight’s game with a total of 13.9 points. Our model believes this is a strong bet to have on tonight’s NBA slate because he has surpassed this particular number in previous matchups.

Our model strongly recommends betting Rui Hachimura Scored more than 14.5 Pointswith +130 odds and a 5.1% limit.

3. ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 9.5 Total Reappearances (+155)

Odds: +155
Probability: 45.9%
Rating: 8.8
Limit: 6.7%
Game: Lakers vs Thunder (9:30PM EST)

According to our model, the best player bet for tonight’s NBA Finals is Isaiah Hartenstein in the Lakers vs Thunder matchup. Our betting bot has priced Isaiah Hartenstein Over 9.5 Total Rebounds. Tonight is the second time these teams have met in a draw. Hartenstein has been able to surpass this number in 2/5 of his recent matchups, posting 9/12/3/10/8 rebounds each, down by one in his most recent matchup. Our model suspects that Hartenstein will crash the glass, catching any loose ball that comes his way. Our model predicts that Hartenstein will surpass his rebounding streak tonight, and post a total of 8.8 rebounds.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends betting Isaiah Hartenstein Over 9.5 Total Reboundswith the findings 6.7% limit again +155 odds.

A GOOD BET

1. POISON -3.5 (-110)

Probability: -110
Probability: 54.3%
Limit: 5.3%
Game: Cavaliers vs Pistons (9:30PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot found the best bet of the day, which took place in the Cavaliers vs Pistons game. In this matchup, our model determined that Pistons -3.5 is a strong bet. Tonight is the second time these teams meet, the record is 1-0 for the Pistons. In all of the Pistons last 5 matchups, they managed to cover this particular number in 4/5 matchups. Our model predicts that since the Pistons are at home, they should have enough of an edge to continue putting up tonight’s number. Our model predicts that the Pistons will sweep tonight’s game while covering tonight’s distribution, putting the series 2-0 to the Pistons.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing bets Pistons -3.5. With -110 possibilities and a 5.3% limitthis is our best bet of the day.

2. FAME -15.5 (-110)

Probability: -110
Probability: 53.9%
Edge: 4.3%
Game: Lakers vs Thunder (9:30PM EST)

Finally, we look at the Lakers vs Thunder matchup where we got some value. In this game, our Basketball Forever betting bot has its eye on the Thunder -15.5, coming in at -110 odds. The Thunder managed to cover this number against the Lakers in 1/1 of the games they played against each other. In their first meeting, the Thunder managed to cover this particular number with an 18-point margin. Our model suspects that with Doncic listed as out and Kennard and Vanderbilt on the GTD list, the Thunder will take advantage of this injury-riddled scoring opportunity and cap tonight’s number. Our model predicts that the Thunder will dominate tonight’s game, including tonight’s distribution.

Our model recommends that you install a sprinkle Popularity -15.5 with -110 possibilities and a 4.3% limit.

READ MORE: Grim Luka Doncic Injury Update

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